FlyerTalk Forums - View Single Post - The WHO now recommends lifting travel bans.
Old Jan 26, 2022, 5:56 am
  #56  
fransknorge
 
Join Date: Nov 2012
Location: Rhineland-Palatinate
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Originally Posted by jcmalcolm
A new study by John Hopkins University this month confirms once again that lockdowns simply don't work and don't reduce real covid fatalities.
Amazing how some still are desperate to preserve them. To what (positive) end?? Fear? Opportunity for control (i.e. Australia and Austria)?

https://sites.krieger.jhu.edu/iae/fi...-Mortality.pdf
Because that study is a piece of garbage from the very beginning:
- it includes only Europe and US, all other countries are excluded
- A lockdown is defined as at least one (1) NPI mandated that restrict people possibilities. So locations which only closes down bars and nightclubs, and nothing else, are called "being in lockdown".

So basically this "study" excludes 75% of the world and compares apple to suspension bridge. And the author are aware because somewhere in the study, this is found:
Because of the heterogeneity in NPIs across studies, it is difficult to draw strong conclusions based on the studies of multiple specific measures. We find no evidence that lockdowns, school closures, border closures, and limiting gatherings have had a noticeable effect on COVID-19 mortality. There is some evidence that business closures reduce COVID-19 mortality, but the variation in estimates is large and the effect seems related to closing bars.
In other word: the author admits their definition are poor and as a result can not find a concluding effect, in whatever direction.
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