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Old Sep 5, 2020, 3:02 pm
  #26  
Transpacificflyer
 
Join Date: May 2012
Location: BKK/SIN/YYZ/YUL
Programs: DL, AC, Bonvoy, Accor, Hilton
Posts: 2,919
Originally Posted by YYCCL3
Would you mind sharing with everyone where we can find evidence of the large number of infections that attach to international flight arrivals?
The following response has been edited to avoid being labeled as '"off topic". The complete response has been provided to the questioner.

For the period of August 21 to August 30; 37 international flights entered Canada carrying one or more confirmed infected people. https://www.canada.ca/en/public-heal...html#wb-auto-6 There were most likely pax who are infected but undetected, but I will ignore that reality to avoid a disagreement here.
For example, on the Air Canada AC1255 Kingston (KIN) to Toronto (YYZ) flight of 24 August we know that there were a minimum of 2 confirmed infected passengers.

From these two infected passengers we can reliably extrapolate how many people will be directly infected and indirectly infected. There is a substantial body of research pre Covid19 that shows this. In respect to a SARS related virus, the classic illustration from the SARS crisis of 2003 shows: On a March 2003 flight from HKG to PEK, one solitary passenger on the 3 hour flight infected 18 passengers and 2 FAs. 1/2 the victims were seated within 2 rows of this person. The other 1/2 were more than 2 rows away. There are other studies which show similar impact.

Therefore, it is likely that these 37 international flights will be implicated in hundreds of infections.

Last edited by tcook052; Sep 5, 2020 at 4:37 pm
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