FlyerTalk Forums - View Single Post - Covid19 will end First and Business Class travel?
Old May 20, 2020, 5:08 am
  #27  
lhrsfo
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Originally Posted by Redmax
Before Covid-19 we are aware of unhygenic situation during our flight and we just often ignored it. Well, this time it is more than just rashes or light infection, it could lands you in the ICU and probably death.
It's this view that is causing the current panic, and it's also this view that will need to be challenged before life gets back to normal.
You will not probably die if you contract COVID-19. The Infection Fatality Rate is hotly disputed, but best guesses are between 0.02% (the Stanford study published yesterday) and 0.9%. This will clearly be massively variable depending upon age and general health, with it much higher for vulnerable people and lower for less vulnerable people. So, the vast majority of people who get it will not die. And, of course, you're unlikely to get it in the first place.

Fast forward a year or two and the picture will look very different: there will likely be far fewer cases in the community so the chances of contracting it are lower, the methods of treating it will be more effective and we will have learnt more about how to behave to minimise its spread. In such a scenario, it will become tolerably safe to fly again.
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