FlyerTalk Forums - View Single Post - AY COVID-19 - new cancellations in Europe
Old Mar 15, 2020, 7:05 am
  #150  
florens
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Location: Switzerland
Programs: AY+ Platinum, SK Gold, BAEC Silver, airbaltic VIP, Radisson VIP
Posts: 6,526
Originally Posted by FFlash
My summary from discussions with my network in health organizations:

Facts:
-virus spreads easily, airborne and contactborne
-virus is not that bad/fatal as many other influenzas

Implications:
-The Thing why quarantine and movement of people has been put in place is Not due to the fatality of virus, but due to the fact that if Not done, the harm would collapse everything at the same time leading to crisis of keeping up systems, least talk about medical staff.
-80% of people will suffer from being infected anyway, with varying symptoms from easy to fatal(not many), but the epidemic period will be 1-1,5 years due to easy virus spreading and the restrictive measures just widening the contamination period from ”all at once” to ”few at a time but longer time”
There are some simulations in this article:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/graph...eC1MZhHUOPHd9s
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