Originally Posted by
ContinentalFan
...At any rate, it was easy to parse the statement to conclude that there would be a redistribution within the ranks of elites.
Yeah, the more I think about it, the more I think UA knows what will happen. They have all the booking and money data of current frequent flyers in front of them. I think some 1Ks will go down due to $ or flights, but they'll be replaced by some $-only qualifiers who are currently Plat. I think they have an error bar in their predictions at each level that narrows from Silver to 1K - and error at the lowest level is less important.