Originally Posted by
jsloan
That's about as encouraging an inventory display as you could see, shy of PZ > 0.
Although you can no longer view future flight status on the web, you can do it on your phone if you set the date to the future. (It may mess with your calendar, so keep that in mind). Seeing how many booked seats there are would be the last piece of the puzzle.
Originally Posted by
jsloan
You're correct that they wouldn't show up on the waitlist yet. However, 22/48, nine days prior to departure, would give you a good chance, IMO. Obviously, it'd be better if you were higher status, and there are no guarantees, but if the sell 15 more seats, and you're tenth on the waitlist, you'd still clear.
The biggest concern would be if there were a flight cancellation and UA had to route a bunch of new passengers onto that flight. That's part of the nature of waitlisting, though. :/
Originally Posted by
findark
Under half-empty at 9 days out and I think you will clear. Australia in August is not all that popular.
Originally Posted by
Duke787
Okay thanks -- think I will roll the dice. Good news is the fare class is higher so the co-pay is lower (though won't realize the full difference due to the $100 I have to pay to redeposit the MUA from the initial flight since it had already cleared LAX - SYD)
Just a follow-up my dates changed again (think they stuck this time) good news is there was PZ space on RDU - DEN - LAX - SYD on the day in question (including a 777 for DEN - LAX), the bad news is thanks to scheduling I'll now arrive in Sydney at 7am and the meetings and events I'm attending are later that same day so very glad I don't have to go to the gate with this upgrade.
The IAH - SYD flight in question did drop to PZ4 with nothing cleared before I switched flights but I still think it likely would have cleared (still 20+ J seats available) just might have been at the gate (aka no Polaris lounge) but no longer an issue