You have 3 hours to connect. An hour's delay isn't going to make you miss your flight. 5 cancellations in the past 90 days doesn't sound all that horrific.
I really think you are worrying unnecessarily. If you absolutely have to be in Dubrovnik on a certain date, then either book travel to arrive a day earlier than you originally planned. Or go with what you probably feel is a safer (Star Alliance) option. If not, just relax in the hotel that AF will provide you for the night in Paris.
If your ORD-CDG flight is cancelled, it will most likely be because the incoming CDG-ORD was cancelled, meaning that they will have plenty of time to rebook you to depart either on the earlier KL flight with an extra stop in AMS, or on an alternate connecting route via a Delta hub (ORD-ATL-CDG or the like).
Perhaps, if you were in paid Business, they may rebook you on either the AA or UA direct flight from ORD-CDG that leave shortly before the AF flight, but I think they would prioritise paid J above award J in such circumstances, and there probably won't be enough seats on these competitor airlines to accommodate all the AF pax impacted by a cancellation.
Last edited by irishguy28; Jul 31, 2019 at 10:05 am