Originally Posted by
ethernal
Agreed - most 763s will get the refurbs. I'm talking about the subset that are older - those that were delivered before '96 or so. There's about 15 of those, 7-10 of which will probably be able to make it to 2021 but not much beyond that. Those will be very, very near retirement and not worth the cost to refurb.
That's an interesting thesis but I'll point out that 27 year-old A320s got AVOD, and the 744s got lie-flats, bins, AVOD and new coach seats ~three to five years before they all went into retirement. It's going to depend on how much DL values product consistency.