Originally Posted by
adam.smith
OP's luggage point seems not to have been given much consideration.
I think there's a good chance winter IRROPS would mess up the flying on this itinerary, but checking bags seems like a recipe for disaster. So many places things can go wrong and even one tight connection that you might make as a pax where your luggage may be left behind.
Not to mention potential confusion at EWR over handling AC-AC connecting bags, which can't be a frequent occurrence.
I don't think I'd be too worried about bags here, as long as the connection time is legal.
What it really comes down to is that this is cheaper than buying the more direct option. If IRROPS happen, that means you can get rebooked on the pricier flight