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Old Apr 21, 16, 9:21 pm
  #13  
ashill
 
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: YYF/YLW
Programs: AA, DL, AS MVP, VA
Posts: 5,229
Originally Posted by FireEmblemPride View Post
LAX will probably stay with DL as the service has been operating longer and we need to keep competitive allocations in mind. MSP is a shocker, since I don't think DTW would have been less likely to succeed. My predictions are as follows:

SFO - UA
LAX - DL
ATL - DL
MSP - DL
DFW - AA
HNL - HA (evening)
I think that NYC getting a slot for a US carrier is a shoe-in, so I think that UA's EWR service is a shoe-in (since neither AA nor DL asked for JFK). I also think that UA's SFO is a shoe-in, and it's most likely that only one LAX slot will be awarded. That leaves four applications (HNL, DFW, ATL, MSP) for two slots. I agree that HNL will probably be left in the evening, so DL and AA will each get one of the slots. So daytime slots:

EWR (UA)
SFO (UA)
LAX (DL or AA; DL may have pissed the DOT off with their SEA shenanigans and opposing this whole proceeding enough to award this to AA. If they haven't, DL will probably win as you say if for no other reason than they're once again proposing a larger, perhaps-unworkable airplane than AA)
DFW (AA)
MSP (DL)
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