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Old Apr 21, 16, 8:53 pm
  #9  
FireEmblemPride
 
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Tokyo
Programs: DL Diamond, ANA Platinum
Posts: 1,437
Interesting choices all around, particularly by UA and DL. Also notable that neither AA or DL are applying for services they previously dropped, and the fact neither UA nor AA applied for ORD indicates that either JL, NH or both will be operating that route. UA applying for EWR is interesting because NH is almost assuredly going to begin JFK. Perhaps it's intentional so that UA definitely gets SFO, which JL may or may not keep around. Meanwhile AA not applying for JFK assures JL will operate it.

LAX will probably stay with DL as the service has been operating longer and we need to keep competitive allocations in mind. MSP is a shocker, since I don't think DTW would have been less likely to succeed. My predictions are as follows:

SFO - UA
LAX - DL
ATL - DL
MSP - DL
DFW - AA
HNL - HA (evening)

Of the 12 slots, assuming NH gets 4 and JL gets 2, that leaves the allocations as:

Star: 5
Oneworld: 3
Skyteam: 3
HA: 1
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