Originally Posted by
IAH-OIL-TRASH
...Please share source material for claim that it is very likely. ...
I have not seen a message in this thread claiming it is "very" likely. What I have seen in this thread is discussion about the policy.
In fact, I have been following this topic closely for several years, and have seen no credible source material proving anything about the frequency this occurs, but I have seen several credible sounding reports that describe incidents when it did occur.
From that, a reasonable person can conclude that it occurs, but cannot make credible claims about the frequency or probability of it occurring.
Therefore, it's still my position that nobody can credibly claim that it is "very unlikely" to happen.