Originally Posted by
LukeRB
We've been upgraded in the past with much lower odds; What makes you confident we won't be this time?
Also, what are your thoughts on the other questions?
SFO-EWR-SFO is low odds/impossible even for 1Ks on leisure fare classes (look at my signature). Have you been upgraded on that specific flight? Was it a weekend?
The advice is the same - the only only way for you to have a chance of upgrades and not split is for you both to have been upgraded prior to OLCI.
What would I do? Split. It always works for me and my companion on the outbound with respect to still getting upgrades (you'll be treated as a Gold, right behind the GF). On the inbound, the companion drops from behind me to after all others in my elite status, so that can be an issue.