I'm going back and forth and cannot decide which to do. What do others think?

• Option A: One night at SF FS at $219, plus tax.
• Option B: One night at SF JW for 30k points, on a pointsaver rate.

Additional Info: Holding both reservations. Sitting at about 130k points before this transaction. Looking to stay in Paris next summer, two rooms, five nights each, which will require 320k points, and I'm likely to earn around 200k-300k points between now and then, so it's cutting it close.

Numbers: SF @$219/night vs. 30k points equals $0.0073/point. Paris (Vendome or Champs) @$576/night vs. 32k points (5th night free) equals $0.018/point, but if we stay at Rive Gauche @$235/night vs. 24k points equals $0.0098. The numbers indicate more bang for the buck in Paris, but there is a decent, but not guaranteed, chance I'll have enough points for both.

Help!