You're staying one night at a courtyard on March 10th, and you need the points from that stay for a reward stay you have booked for the 16th?
The way I read your post, you need these points, even if you get the credit card points, yes? And you've already made the award reservation?
The points from the stay should post by the 16th, without a problem. Usually, my points post two days after checkout, meaning you'd have your points by the end of the 13th. I'm not 100% sure about the bonus, but if your bonuses have been posting as you go (rather than having to be manually adjusted later), then it should post with the room.
The problem you'll have isn't with the points posting by the 16th, though. If you've already made the reservation, I'd be worried that the system will try to sweep the points out of your account about a week before your stay - at that time, you won't have enough. I don't know what happens when you don't have the points at that time.