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Old Mar 21, 2015, 5:55 pm
  #1  
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Check Historical Load factor on a flight?

Is there a way to check the historical load factor, by class, of a flight?
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Old Mar 21, 2015, 6:28 pm
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To a first order approximation, the answer is no. What are you trying to figure out?
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Old Mar 21, 2015, 6:44 pm
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That'd be the holy grail of anti-competitive data.
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Old Mar 21, 2015, 6:51 pm
  #4  
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Originally Posted by lensman
To a first order approximation, the answer is no. What are you trying to figure out?
I am waitlisted for an upgrade. Currently half of C is occupied and I would like to know what my odds are. Diditclear has no data for IAH-FRA.
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Old Mar 21, 2015, 6:58 pm
  #5  
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What's the current load (based on expert mode)?

How full is E+?

What status are you, what fare class are you on, and how are you supporting the upgrade?
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Old Mar 21, 2015, 7:02 pm
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The issue with trying to check historical load factors for UA premium cabins is that I would say that by the time the doors close on 99% of the flights, the seats upfront will be filled with revenue passengers and non-revs.
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Old Mar 21, 2015, 7:06 pm
  #7  
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Originally Posted by aacharya
What's the current load (based on expert mode)?

How full is E+?

What status are you, what fare class are you on, and how are you supporting the upgrade?
Z/P = 7, J>9, and E+ is about half occupied.
I am a 1K booked into Q fare using a GPU. I am relying on CPUs for other flight segments.
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Old Mar 21, 2015, 7:35 pm
  #8  
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Originally Posted by Gallager2014
Z/P = 7, J>9, and E+ is about half occupied.
I am a 1K booked into Q fare using a GPU. I am relying on CPUs for other flight segments.
I'd be comfortable with a Q fare as a 1K on that route. Not many people are outranking you for status. And it doesn't seem as if it's very popular in direct J bookings.
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Old Mar 21, 2015, 7:36 pm
  #9  
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The DOT has a it all available from RITA. Coupon data (10% of pax) and flight data.
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Old Mar 21, 2015, 8:33 pm
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Originally Posted by mduell
The DOT has a it all available from RITA. Coupon data (10% of pax) and flight data.
True, but very non specific and heavily delayed.
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Old Mar 21, 2015, 10:19 pm
  #11  
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Originally Posted by Gallager2014
Is there a way to check the historical load factor, by class, of a flight?
Originally Posted by fastair
That'd be the holy grail of anti-competitive data.
Yes, if you can somehow figure out UA flight/date specific actual load factors by class, you can probably sell it for a good price to AA/DL etc.
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Old Mar 21, 2015, 11:10 pm
  #12  
 
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Originally Posted by Gallager2014
Is there a way to check the historical load factor, by class, of a flight?
Originally Posted by mduell
The DOT has a it all available from RITA. Coupon data (10% of pax) and flight data.
Originally Posted by fastair
True, but very non specific and heavily delayed.
Agreed.

IIRC, the DOT 10% sample will give you passenger counts by airline by departure/arrival by "aggregated fare class". You won't know date, day of week, or flight. You also have to match up against historical flight schedules to know seats, but if you did so you could calculate average load factor for the carrier.

I don't recall looking much at the fare class breakdowns back when I was working with this data. We did work heavily in the O&D/market data and the departure/arrival/carrier passenger counts out of the coupon data.

I also don't know how carriers report upgrades or buyups when reporting this data to the DOT.
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Old Mar 22, 2015, 6:24 am
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Originally Posted by Gallager2014
Z/P = 7, J>9, and E+ is about half occupied.
I am a 1K booked into Q fare using a GPU. I am relying on CPUs for other flight segments.
when is the trip?
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Old Mar 22, 2015, 11:26 am
  #14  
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Originally Posted by lensman
Agreed.

IIRC, the DOT 10% sample will give you passenger counts by airline by departure/arrival by "aggregated fare class". You won't know date, day of week, or flight. You also have to match up against historical flight schedules to know seats, but if you did so you could calculate average load factor for the carrier.

I don't recall looking much at the fare class breakdowns back when I was working with this data. We did work heavily in the O&D/market data and the departure/arrival/carrier passenger counts out of the coupon data.

I also don't know how carriers report upgrades or buyups when reporting this data to the DOT.
The flight data I was referring to (T100 segment data) gives you load factors directly.

Sorry for the ambiguity in my post about the coupon data. I meant to say both were available.
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Old Mar 22, 2015, 1:48 pm
  #15  
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Originally Posted by njcommodore
when is the trip?
April 2
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