Feb 9, 2019, 8:39 pm
Last edit by: WineCountryUA
This is an archive thread, the active thread is
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
Related thread - Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
Related thread - Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight {Archive}
Jan 22, 2015, 11:49 am
#61
Join Date: Apr 2010
Location: ICT
Programs: AA EXP, UA Plat, DL G, Marriott Gold
Posts: 1,330
As a 1K with a J fare for both ORD-FRA (on 2/2 UA944) and FRA-EWR (on 2/6 UA969), do I have a fairly good upgrade chance if space is available? I just booked the tickets but it seems as if that doesn't matter given the J fare. Business class on these these flights doesn't appear very impressive.
Although there are open first seats on the seat map for these flights, I don't think this necessarily equates to the upgrade space available? This is one point I have never been able to understand even after reading all of these threads.
Thanks in advance for your help!
Although there are open first seats on the seat map for these flights, I don't think this necessarily equates to the upgrade space available? This is one point I have never been able to understand even after reading all of these threads.
Thanks in advance for your help!
Jan 22, 2015, 1:35 pm
#63
Join Date: Jul 2011
Programs: AA Plat, UA 1K>Plat>moving to Silver
Posts: 2,089
You can use expert mode on UA.com and look for R class upgradable space, but chances should be pretty good going to FRA in February.
Jan 22, 2015, 3:31 pm
#64
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: ORD
Programs: UA 1k, SPG Plat 100
Posts: 619
Jan 22, 2015, 3:52 pm
#65
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: CLE
Programs: UA GS, HH Diamond
Posts: 33
ON and every other relevant upgrade bucket is zero (except for FN=3 which I have decoded to be standard award miles upgrade).
I suppose this may change as the computer decides if it may not sell those seats and would rather take my GPU? I appreciate the tutorial, now a lot of the things I have read here on FlyerTalk make SOOO much more sense!
Last edited by happytobeme; Jan 22, 2015 at 8:41 pm Reason: Typo
Jan 23, 2015, 3:02 am
#66
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: where lions are led by donkeys...
Programs: Lifetime Gold, Global Entry, Hertz PC, and my wallet
Posts: 20,340
Post merger it got worse and has continued that way, usually as a mere 1K I would almost guarantee it would clear, (and that was LHR-SFO-LHR which I know is elite heavy) now I am so far down the list that I just have to suck it up. And watching the seat allocations disappear, well, it just looks odd to me the way that seat allocations suddenly disappear.
Feb 12, 2015, 12:56 pm
#67
Join Date: Feb 2015
Posts: 4
How often will a GPU clear on EWR-PVG?
(n00b here, please go easy on me 
)
tl;dr Should I pay $962 to attempt to use 4 GPUs?
I'm about to buy 2 $1,351 K/T EWR-PVG tix. Am considering upfaring to W/W for an extra $484 p/p. This is in mid-April, flying out on a Saturday and back on a Sunday.
On the outbound, there are 37/50 seats open in the BF chart (777-200), on the return, there are 44/50.
I cleared 2 GPUs on EWR-PVG last October, but failed to clear an ICN-SFO in November, so I'm a bit skittish about spending an extra $484 x 2 passengers. Does anyone know how likely clearing might be with this amount of BF inventory two months out? Or is this basically unknowable?
Alternative: because the return is in T, the W premium is only $162 p/p, so I may just take that. But then if the GPUs don't clear, I'll have like a week to give them away or let them expire. (2 are expiring on 4/30, the rest the following Jan.)
Needless to say, all of the flights I've looked at are showing R0/RN0.
OB is J9, JN9, C9, D0, Z0, ZN0, P0, PN0, R0, RN0, IN0, I0, Y9, YN9, B9, M9, E9, U9, H9, HN9, Q9, V9, W9, S9, T9, L9, K9, G0, N0, XN0, X0.
Return is J9, JN9, C9, D9, Z9, ZN9, P9, PN0, R0, RN0, IN0, I0, Y9, YN9, B9, M9, E9, U9, H9, HN9, Q9, V9, W9, S9, T9, L9, K0, G0, N0, XN0, X0.
Regrettably, I don't have flexibility on dates.
)tl;dr Should I pay $962 to attempt to use 4 GPUs?
I'm about to buy 2 $1,351 K/T EWR-PVG tix. Am considering upfaring to W/W for an extra $484 p/p. This is in mid-April, flying out on a Saturday and back on a Sunday.
On the outbound, there are 37/50 seats open in the BF chart (777-200), on the return, there are 44/50.
I cleared 2 GPUs on EWR-PVG last October, but failed to clear an ICN-SFO in November, so I'm a bit skittish about spending an extra $484 x 2 passengers. Does anyone know how likely clearing might be with this amount of BF inventory two months out? Or is this basically unknowable?
Alternative: because the return is in T, the W premium is only $162 p/p, so I may just take that. But then if the GPUs don't clear, I'll have like a week to give them away or let them expire. (2 are expiring on 4/30, the rest the following Jan.)
Needless to say, all of the flights I've looked at are showing R0/RN0.
OB is J9, JN9, C9, D0, Z0, ZN0, P0, PN0, R0, RN0, IN0, I0, Y9, YN9, B9, M9, E9, U9, H9, HN9, Q9, V9, W9, S9, T9, L9, K9, G0, N0, XN0, X0.
Return is J9, JN9, C9, D9, Z9, ZN9, P9, PN0, R0, RN0, IN0, I0, Y9, YN9, B9, M9, E9, U9, H9, HN9, Q9, V9, W9, S9, T9, L9, K0, G0, N0, XN0, X0.
Regrettably, I don't have flexibility on dates.
Feb 12, 2015, 1:08 pm
#68
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: BOS
Programs: 1MM, UA 1k
Posts: 529
on the outbound I was 0 for 4 last year, almost always on Saturday. Returning I was 2 for 2, on Thursday/Friday. Highly recommend doing what you can to get BF, it's murder, even in E+. Hell, one of the outbound trips we we're delayed takeoff for almost 2 hours, making it almost 17 hours in the seat....
edit: my tix are always booked within 1 week of travel...
edit: my tix are always booked within 1 week of travel...
Feb 12, 2015, 1:20 pm
#69
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: PHX
Programs: AS 75K; UA 1MM; Hyatt Globalist; Marriott LTP; Hilton Diamond (Aspire)
Posts: 56,448
I would not be particularly optimistic about the outbound, as D0 Z0 P0 is not a good sign. The return, with P9 is a better bet.
:-: Welcome to FT! :-:
Feb 12, 2015, 2:11 pm
#70
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: BOS, PVG
Programs: United 1K and 1MM, Marriott Ambassador
Posts: 10,000
I'm in the same situation.
Outbound: Monday next month is showing P5 with 28/50 unoccupied.
IM is not even opening PN.
Saturday is most difficult. Sunday is next worst day.
Outbound: Monday next month is showing P5 with 28/50 unoccupied.
IM is not even opening PN.
Saturday is most difficult. Sunday is next worst day.
Feb 12, 2015, 4:12 pm
#71
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: where lions are led by donkeys...
Programs: Lifetime Gold, Global Entry, Hertz PC, and my wallet
Posts: 20,340
I have been looking for flights LHR-SFO in March, and for the three days that I looked at flights, including with stops, RN0 and R0 for everything. It's not like it used to be that's for sure.
Feb 12, 2015, 5:35 pm
#72
Join Date: Feb 2015
Posts: 4
Mods, thanks for moving my post!
Feb 12, 2015, 5:38 pm
#73
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Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: PHX
Programs: AS 75K; UA 1MM; Hyatt Globalist; Marriott LTP; Hilton Diamond (Aspire)
Posts: 56,448
Feb 12, 2015, 5:46 pm
#74
Join Date: Feb 2015
Posts: 4
Thanks much! I guess UA expects a lot of price-insensitive travelers to take the Saturday EWR-PVG.
Feb 12, 2015, 6:04 pm
#75
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: PHX
Programs: AS 75K; UA 1MM; Hyatt Globalist; Marriott LTP; Hilton Diamond (Aspire)
Posts: 56,448
Exactly. Their inventory management software continually adjusts fare class availability based on predicted demand. It's not uncommon though to see some pretty big shifts - one day it can be J9 C9 D0 Z0 P0 and the next day they'll open it all the way to P9.