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Old Nov 4, 09, 12:39 pm   #1
 
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Is the $ near a bottom....

or will it continue to fall?


Commodities have been on a tear of late. I'm starting to take profits.....anyone else?

I'm just a novice trader but I think there is a bounce in the $ coming....even if its a dead cat bounce.
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Old Nov 4, 09, 3:24 pm   #2
 
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The bank of India just made the biggest single purchase of gold...

...in 30 years...cuz its so afraid that its $US reserves are going to fall so much in value over the next while.
Warren Buffet buys a railroad which would greatly benefit from a low $US as a vehicle for exporting commodities.
The fed is printing money as the stimulus dollars really start to flow in 2010.
So NO I wouldn't bet on a $US bounce any time soon.
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Old Nov 4, 09, 3:51 pm   #3
 
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Yes it is.
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Old Nov 4, 09, 4:03 pm   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by annerj View Post
or will it continue to fall?
It's actually gotten a tiny bit stronger in the last couple of days.

However, historical patterns have shown that it almost always loses value right around the time I need to transfer money from dollars to euros to pay my rent.
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Old Nov 4, 09, 11:56 pm   #5
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Assuming you're talking about the US$ I hope not. The A$ will hopefully continue to rise another 10-15 cents. Especially before I head off overseas next year. Would love to see the A$ rise against the Yen a bit as well.
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Old Nov 5, 09, 6:53 am   #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by annerj View Post
or will it continue to fall?
...
Yes.

The mother of all carry-trades / asset bubbles is underway as the US continues to provide 0% USD 'round the world.

Will this end badly ?

"Maybe its different this time".
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Old Nov 5, 09, 1:19 pm   #7
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by im-headed-west View Post
Yes.

The mother of all carry-trades / asset bubbles is underway as the US continues to provide 0% USD 'round the world.

Will this end badly ?
Yes.

Quote:
Originally Posted by im-headed-west View Post
"Maybe its different this time".
Oh, it's gonna be real different.
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