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Fred has rapidly intensified into a Cat 2 hurricane. He could become a major hurricane. And this, my friends, is the kind of major hurricane we want if you got to have them. It's way out there in the Atlantic and scheduled to do nothing but move north.
It's also the strongest in modern recorded history to be this far SE in the Atlantic.
It is interesting to see the forecast models on www.stormpulse.com. There really is no consensus between any of the models. Looks like Fred is in uncharted waters, so to speak.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TTT
It is interesting to see the forecast models on www.stormpulse.com. There really is no consensus between any of the models. Looks like Fred is in uncharted waters, so to speak.
One of the things that concerns me about the models is that some of them could, in theory drive this thing in a loop and bring it back across the Atlantic like any other Cape Verde wave. Also, I assume the Cape Verde Islands themselves aren't prepared at all for a tropical system since they are usually long out of town before they begin getting stronger. And then there is the coast of Africa. I might have to look at the SSTs later to see if that could possibly happen.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by indufan
Fred is dead.
Well,not quite dead but definitely on life support now as a TD at 1005 mb.
Something else just made an appearance off the coast of Africa yesterday. It does not look like too much trouble but when Fred finally does RIP it should be be enough to keep the maps from looking like December.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by indufan
...Who wants this job now?
It is ideal for those of us who might be directly impacted that the overseer of this thread is located out in the plains of Central Indiana.
That means that if indufan retains the job he has performed so well over the past few years, FT Hurricane Central will be well-shielded from the storms while keeping us abreast of developments as we prepare and hunker down.
If he does continue to serve as he has, I will also chime in from time to time with opinions and observations from one of the the frequent battlefields (until I decamp as is my practice when there is an anticipation of real trouble ).
Therefore, we request that indufan keep the job which now will carry a bonus of my getting his first round anytime that he and I end up at the same destination.
Tropical Storm Ida is alive and while near hurricane status, should be inland soon. Could affect Cancun early next week.
Who wants this job now?
I'm scheduled to fly out of CUN on Monday at 0720, right about the time that Ida is probably going to be sitting on top of Cancun. Any advice or suggestions?
I'm calm, just trying to plan, as I'd rather not miss work, and I didn't give myself any buffer- planned to fly home Monday and work Tuesday. It seems to me it's pretty unlikely that the airport will even be open, even if Ida is only at a TS level, but I don't have any experience flying around hurricanes so that's just my guess...
Agree with monitor that indufan should continue as the FT Hurricane Central Master of Ceremonies (or FTHCMC for short). I wish we could return the favor when twisters are coming your way, but alas, the lead time leaves a bit to be desired.
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[quote=sandsunsurf;12773165]I'm scheduled to fly out of CUN on Monday at 0720, right about the time that Ida is probably going to be sitting on top of Cancun. Any advice or suggestions?.../QUOTE]My take on it also is that Ida will cause some rain and bad weather over Cancun just about when you are ready to leave.
It is not going to be a bad one but it still might be bad enough to disrupt the air traffic schedules. And it might not. I think that since Sunday figures to be a weather washout down there, if I really needed to be out of there on Monday I would decamp on the last flight Saturday.
However all of this can change and Ida may stay as nothing but a Tropical Depression and wander around dropping some rain and petering out. If this is the case, you might as well stay down there and have a few more rounds on Sunday.
I didn't expect to hear this. So there is another tropical storm is heading this way to MSY or GPT and PNS. I am not sure whether the situation going on lately. So it should have to be evacuated out of CUN immediately before the storm is strike near coast of Mexico. You should consider to lookup onto the website the hurricane tracking www.stormpulse.com to find out anything more new info about Hurricanes. DO you know which name of the Hurricane is that?
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