Just keep eyeing on them. If you found any more hurricanes season. IF they doesn't have any evacuated from home or school, too. It will be more protection to get installed the shutter.
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No big news here but there are a couple areas of disturbed weather just off the east coast of Florida. The chances of tropical development in the short run are small but they are pretty close to the coast.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by indufan
No big news here but there are a couple areas of disturbed weather just off the east coast of Florida. The chances of tropical development in the short run are small but they are pretty close to the coast.
That is only news in Central Indiana.
Looking out the window on the east coast of Florida shows nothing but blue skies.
Anyhow, I think that this thread is not due for much action this year. A strong El Nino is forming in the central and eastern Pacific and IIRC, there are seldom hurricanes in the North Atlantic when a full scale El Nino is active. Why this is I do not know for sure but I sure am happy to see it.
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I really, REALLY don't want to think about this. I still have nightmares about the Katrina evacuation and all the aftermath.
But...just letting me go there for one brief minute, isn't is strange that it's almost August and we haven't had even a minor scare? A funny thing I've noticed is that everyone I know here starts their cocktail hour earlier & earlier as the hurricane season progresses. (Can you tell I'm in that number???)
Anyway, a big lesson I learned from "the big one", I always book refundable tickets in hurricane season. It lessens the anxiety.
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Originally Posted by Marylou
But...just letting me go there for one brief minute, isn't is strange that it's almost August and we haven't had even a minor scare?
No, actually, it's not. While the Atlantic basin hurricane season starts on June 1, it doesn't really start until Aug when the powerful Cape Verde season takes a hold.
Hurricane Andrew didn't form until August 16, 1992.
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Originally Posted by indufan
No, actually, it's not. While the Atlantic basin hurricane season starts on June 1, it doesn't really start until Aug when the powerful Cape Verde season takes a hold.
Hurricane Andrew didn't form until August 16, 1992.
True, but we usually have at least a few minor scares by this time. I don't even think we've had a TD.
I remember Andrew well. I also remember Opal on Oct. 4 of '95. That was probably the latest date in my memory.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Marylou
True, but we usually have at least a few minor scares by this time. I don't even think we've had a TD.
I remember Andrew well. I also remember Opal on Oct. 4 of '95. That was probably the latest date in my memory.
Well, all the way past in post 1 describes TD-1. This is a classic case of selective memory and recent memory. With all due respect, there aren't "usually" a few minor scares by this time. The climatology just doesn't support it. The data is a little old but the average date of the first named storm is July 10th. The average date of the 2nd named storm is August 6th. The average date of the first hurricane is August 14th. So, the moral of the story is that we aren't late at all and what has happened doesn't predict future performance. Now, monitor might be onto something about El Nino but time will tell.
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Originally Posted by indufan
Well, all the way past in post 1 describes TD-1. This is a classic case of selective memory and recent memory. With all due respect, there aren't "usually" a few minor scares by this time. The climatology just doesn't support it. The data is a little old but the average date of the first named storm is July 10th. The average date of the 2nd named storm is August 6th. The average date of the first hurricane is August 14th. So, the moral of the story is that we aren't late at all and what has happened doesn't predict future performance. Now, monitor might be onto something about El Nino but time will tell.
You're probably right about the selective memory, and I didn't mean to imply that hurricanes were common by this time. But the topic of conversation everywhere I go lately has been the lack of activity in the gulf. Now, HST I counter my friends with the fact that the real issue is the lack of constant news stories about how we should be out buying batteries, water, plywood, etc. Most years, and you can check the data, by the last week in August we have had some weather events in the tropics that have caused our local newscasters to turn into Chicken Little. This year, that just has not been the case. Not that I'm complaining mind you, but it is just "there".
Personally, I'm hoping your August 14th date will hold true for this year as well because I won't be here.
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Originally Posted by Marylou
Most years, and you can check the data, by the last week in August we have had some weather events in the tropics that have caused our local newscasters to turn into Chicken Little. This year, that just has not been the case. Not that I'm complaining mind you, but it is just "there".
I would only qualify this by saying RECENT years. We had a couple (and one in particular) pretty incredible years.
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Classic Cape Verde tropical wave is a few hundred miles west of those islands. Development, if any, is expected to be slow. But, NOW is hurricane season...forget those couple of warm up months....it's kind of like spring training.
I counter my friends with the fact that the real issue is the lack of constant news stories about how we should be out buying batteries, water, plywood, etc. Most years, and you can check the data, by the last week in August we have had some weather events in the tropics that have caused our local newscasters to turn into Chicken Little. This year, that just has not been the case. Not that I'm complaining mind you, but it is just "there".
