US Airways Dividend Miles (Pre-FlightFund Merger) - Odds on Triple Base Miles for Shuttle Continuing?

Any speculation as to whether the triple base miles promo on the Shuttle will continue past the end of 2002?

I would hope that US believes that while they're in bankruptcy, incentives to make consumers choose their product are a good idea. If it works and more people fly, they'll stay in business. If it doesn't work, they'll go out of business (which is what I hear is likely anyways), and those triple miles will be worthless anyways. But who knows? US Air seems to think that customers are a problem. If they were smart, they would target everyone with tier bonuses on top of the triple bonus. DL seems to never have tier bonuses like those on US. A SkyMiles rep said that DL was going to keep the triple status qualifying miles promotion going into the new year.

<font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Originally posted by infiniteflyer:
I would hope that US believes that while they're in bankruptcy, incentives to make consumers choose their product are a good idea. If it works and more people fly, they'll stay in business. If it doesn't work, they'll go out of business (which is what I hear is likely anyways), and those triple miles will be worthless anyways. But who knows? US Air seems to think that customers are a problem. If they were smart, they would target everyone with tier bonuses on top of the triple bonus. DL seems to never have tier bonuses like those on US. A SkyMiles rep said that DL was going to keep the triple status qualifying miles promotion going into the new year.</font>

Where did you hear that DL was going to keep the triple miles into 2003? I am a DL PM, and my observation is that the DL promo was always a reaction to what US Air was offering. Reason I asked about US keeping the triple deal going is that it would be a sure bet that DL would follow.

I would think so for the following reasons:

1) Light loads to and from LGA where land based traffic competes.

2) Aggressive competition from DL, and AA entering the market.

Also, note that UA also gives non-status triple miles on IAD-JFK/LGA and IAD-BOS.

re the "light" loads. I certainly don't know what they actually are, but my shuttle flights (twice per week) have been fuller for the last two months.

I do belive the competition means the triple base miles will stay.