2015 Chances of Upgrade Clearing and Upgrade Availability Discussion (consolidated)
Jan 1, 2015, 9:12 pm
#1
Senior Moderator and Moderator: American AAdvantage & TravelBuzz
Original Poster
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: BOS
Programs: AA EXP, Marriott Titanium
Posts: 10,413
2015 Chances of Upgrade Clearing and Upgrade Availability Discussion (consolidated)
MODERATOR NOTES
Please use this thread to discuss upgrade availability on specific flights for calendar year 2015, and for now, booking into 2016.
• For general information, see this FAQ entry: What are the chances that my upgrade will clear?
• For specific information herein, try using Search this Thread for your relevant airport code(s), as well as for the previous archived threads:
• Tools like ExpertFlyer and KVS can be useful in seeing upgrade availability as well as seats for sale available in the cabin you seek. The Travel Tools Forum has extensive threads about these tools.
2014: http://www.flyertalk.com/forum/ameri...solidated.html
2013: http://www.flyertalk.com/forum/ameri...ed-2013-a.html
2012 and prior: http://www.flyertalk.com/forum/ameri...012-prior.html
• sica4 has generously started a system for tracking upgrade percentages. Please see THIS PREVIOUS POST or click HERE to contribute.
• Please do not ask members to post proprietary information (e.g. ExpertFlyer data) regarding upgrade chances (a thoughtful, helpful member may post information, but you are not allowed to request it). Subscriptions and free trials for these services are available.
The AA Forum Moderator Team
Please use this thread to discuss upgrade availability on specific flights for calendar year 2015, and for now, booking into 2016.
• For general information, see this FAQ entry: What are the chances that my upgrade will clear?
• For specific information herein, try using Search this Thread for your relevant airport code(s), as well as for the previous archived threads:
• Tools like ExpertFlyer and KVS can be useful in seeing upgrade availability as well as seats for sale available in the cabin you seek. The Travel Tools Forum has extensive threads about these tools.
2014: http://www.flyertalk.com/forum/ameri...solidated.html
2013: http://www.flyertalk.com/forum/ameri...ed-2013-a.html
2012 and prior: http://www.flyertalk.com/forum/ameri...012-prior.html
• Please do not ask members to post proprietary information (e.g. ExpertFlyer data) regarding upgrade chances (a thoughtful, helpful member may post information, but you are not allowed to request it). Subscriptions and free trials for these services are available.
The AA Forum Moderator Team
Jan 1, 2015, 9:54 pm
#2
Join Date: Aug 2012
Programs: AA PLT, SPG Gold
Posts: 2,405
2015 Chances of Upgrade Clearing and Upgrade Availability Discussion (consolidated)
flying sna-dfw tomorrow, requested sticker upgrades late bc wasn't sure whether to use or not. F cabin goes from F7 to F2 but still 12/16 seats unassigned. Wouldn't people normally select their seats as they get upgraded? Weird. Can't wait to try out the discount dougie diet if we clear!
Jan 1, 2015, 10:18 pm
#3
Senior Moderator and Moderator: American AAdvantage & TravelBuzz
Original Poster
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: BOS
Programs: AA EXP, Marriott Titanium
Posts: 10,413
How does the Y cabin look? Could it be that Y is overbooked and they're back F seats with the anticipation that they're going to upgrade/bump passengers from the back?
Jan 2, 2015, 12:00 am
#4
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: California
Programs: AA EXP...couple hotels and cars too
Posts: 4,548
If you are new to this topic...
an EXCELLENT way to come up to speed on this is to give a quick read of last years' thread. Same techniques and suggestions apply.
http://www.flyertalk.com/forum/ameri...l#post24070407
an EXCELLENT way to come up to speed on this is to give a quick read of last years' thread. Same techniques and suggestions apply.
http://www.flyertalk.com/forum/ameri...l#post24070407
Jan 2, 2015, 5:40 am
#5
Join Date: May 2009
Location: Huntersville, NC USA
Programs: AA EXP Plat, UA 1mm,HHonors Diamond
Posts: 79
Booked yesterday
2/28 AA90 ORD-LHR SWU cleared on phone after booked
3/10 AA51 LHR-DFW SWU cleared on phone after booked
Good way to start out 2015
2/28 AA90 ORD-LHR SWU cleared on phone after booked
3/10 AA51 LHR-DFW SWU cleared on phone after booked
Good way to start out 2015
Jan 2, 2015, 8:34 am
#6
Join Date: Aug 2012
Programs: AA PLT, SPG Gold
Posts: 2,405
Interestingly I checked EF a bit later and back to F7. Y pretty full. Anyway we cleared overnight so lets see just how bad this new doggie diet is!
Jan 2, 2015, 9:20 am
#7
Join Date: Nov 2010
Location: MDE
Programs: AA-PLT, HH-GLD, PP
Posts: 1,511
I got a nice little surprise today. I'm flying MDE-MIA-ORD, ORD-BWI, and BWI-MIA-MDE later this month. The flights to and from MDE were showing as waitlist, but when I called to get on the waitlist, the agent said she could confirm them. Plus, I had not intended to upgrade BWI-ORD, as I thought I would have to use a third SWU, but she told me it was included in the 3-segment rule, so I got that one for "free." (free at least from my point of view, as I did not realize I was entitled to it).
I was surprised to see that the MDE flights booked into C, while the domestic segments were booked to A.
I was surprised to see that the MDE flights booked into C, while the domestic segments were booked to A.
Jan 3, 2015, 10:52 am
#8
Join Date: Jun 2013
Location: LAX
Programs: AA EXP
Posts: 946
Looking at AA106 JFK-LHR on the 10th...Biz looks wide open. It looks like a 77W too. What are my chances of clearing that upgrade? It's C0 right now but the it's got 40+ seats open.
Jan 6, 2015, 8:04 am
#9
Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: FLL
Programs: AAdvantage EXP
Posts: 132
Better chance for redeye upgrade LAX to MIA
Hi I'm needing help from you expertflyers experts out there. I just got a subscription and am learning how to read the data.
For example, I want to book a redeye from LAX to MIA next week. If we look at Wednesday 1/14.
AA258: seatmap shows 4 open seats (although it says A2). The first 3 rows (MCE) look pretty full.
AA115: seatmap shows 3 open seats (although it also says A2). MCE looks more empty. In particular the bulkhead is very empty, that is where the elites like to sit right?
My question is this: which one would you choose for a higher chance of upgrade?
Thanks for your help.
For example, I want to book a redeye from LAX to MIA next week. If we look at Wednesday 1/14.
AA258: seatmap shows 4 open seats (although it says A2). The first 3 rows (MCE) look pretty full.
AA115: seatmap shows 3 open seats (although it also says A2). MCE looks more empty. In particular the bulkhead is very empty, that is where the elites like to sit right?
My question is this: which one would you choose for a higher chance of upgrade?
Thanks for your help.
Jan 6, 2015, 8:16 am
#10
Join Date: Nov 2012
Location: PBI/FLL/MIA
Programs: DL DM/2MM, MR Ambassador, National EE
Posts: 1,614
Hi I'm needing help from you expertflyers experts out there. I just got a subscription and am learning how to read the data.
For example, I want to book a redeye from LAX to MIA next week. If we look at Wednesday 1/14.
AA258: seatmap shows 4 open seats (although it says A2). The first 3 rows (MCE) look pretty full.
AA115: seatmap shows 3 open seats (although it also says A2). MCE looks more empty. In particular the bulkhead is very empty, that is where the elites like to sit right?
My question is this: which one would you choose for a higher chance of upgrade?
Thanks for your help.
For example, I want to book a redeye from LAX to MIA next week. If we look at Wednesday 1/14.
AA258: seatmap shows 4 open seats (although it says A2). The first 3 rows (MCE) look pretty full.
AA115: seatmap shows 3 open seats (although it also says A2). MCE looks more empty. In particular the bulkhead is very empty, that is where the elites like to sit right?
My question is this: which one would you choose for a higher chance of upgrade?
Thanks for your help.
115 probably your better bet since it has more open MCE seats. Now showing A0... I fly this route all the time (although I NEVER take the redeye!) and it is a tough complimentary UG... it's a good route for me to use miles plus copay or an SWU on. If you choose to go that route keep on eye on the A fare bucket as seats will be become available in that bucket on occasion as you get closer to departure.
Jan 6, 2015, 9:05 am
#11
Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: FLL
Programs: AAdvantage EXP
Posts: 132
115 probably your better bet since it has more open MCE seats. Now showing A0... I fly this route all the time (although I NEVER take the redeye!) and it is a tough complimentary UG... it's a good route for me to use miles plus copay or an SWU on. If you choose to go that route keep on eye on the A fare bucket as seats will be become available in that bucket on occasion as you get closer to departure.
I'm also FLL/PBI/MIA, so maybe I'll see you on one of these flights.
Jan 6, 2015, 9:40 am
#12
Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: FLL
Programs: AAdvantage EXP
Posts: 132
115 probably your better bet since it has more open MCE seats. Now showing A0... I fly this route all the time (although I NEVER take the redeye!) and it is a tough complimentary UG... it's a good route for me to use miles plus copay or an SWU on. If you choose to go that route keep on eye on the A fare bucket as seats will be become available in that bucket on occasion as you get closer to departure.
I could try AA258 which says F2, and indeed the seat map shows 2, but MCE is packed.
Jan 15, 2015, 5:27 am
#13
Join Date: Jun 2013
Location: Roswell, GA
Programs: AA EXP 2.8m,Lifetime PLT, Hilton Diamond, IHG PlLT, SPG Gold
Posts: 3,191
Success using SWU in 2015
Mods, if you need to move this, please do..
Well its 2015, just wanted to see how your SWU have been working for you this year.
I am happy to report that ATL-DFW-INC for a trip for my wife and myself cleared a few days ago for travel in April . (the agent was able to upgrade my wife first, she has no status, and wait listed me, but 3 days later, mine came thru)
My flight to BOM, via MIA still still pending, as in the return via ORD, they say it looks good.
Well its 2015, just wanted to see how your SWU have been working for you this year.
I am happy to report that ATL-DFW-INC for a trip for my wife and myself cleared a few days ago for travel in April . (the agent was able to upgrade my wife first, she has no status, and wait listed me, but 3 days later, mine came thru)
My flight to BOM, via MIA still still pending, as in the return via ORD, they say it looks good.
Jan 15, 2015, 5:44 am
#14
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: SJC/VCE
Programs: AA PLT (2.9+ MM), HH GLD, Hyatt Diamond, SPG PLT
Posts: 10,161
A few weeks ago I booked a DFW-LHR roundtrip for March (on the 77W - at least for now) and both upgrades cleared at booking. It was sort of like the "old days" I've seen reports elsewhere of improved SWU clearing. I do hope it lasts
Jan 15, 2015, 7:16 am
#15
Moderator: American AAdvantage, Signatures
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: London, England
Programs: UA 1K, Hilton Diamond, IHG Diamond Ambassador, National Exec, AA EXP Emeritus
Posts: 9,765
Mods, if you need to move this, please do..
Well its 2015, just wanted to see how your SWU have been working for you this year.
I am happy to report that ATL-DFW-INC for a trip for my wife and myself cleared a few days ago for travel in April . (the agent was able to upgrade my wife first, she has no status, and wait listed me, but 3 days later, mine came thru)
My flight to BOM, via MIA still still pending, as in the return via ORD, they say it looks good.
Well its 2015, just wanted to see how your SWU have been working for you this year.
I am happy to report that ATL-DFW-INC for a trip for my wife and myself cleared a few days ago for travel in April . (the agent was able to upgrade my wife first, she has no status, and wait listed me, but 3 days later, mine came thru)
My flight to BOM, via MIA still still pending, as in the return via ORD, they say it looks good.
~Moderator
