Air Berlin Files for Bankruptcy

Old Aug 15, 2017, 8:09 am
  #31  
 
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Originally Posted by Tafflyer
Ryanair and Easyjet are taking aim at Lufthansa group right now, so I suspect IAG would be happier to let that play out first before taking a risk in the German market. Also, labour laws and conditions are not the same in Germany as in other jurisdictions (like the UK) meaning the BA MF crew model would never work here, resulting in much higher costs.
What is the MF model and why wouldn't it work?
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Old Aug 15, 2017, 8:10 am
  #32  
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Originally Posted by wazow
What is the MF model and why wouldn't it work?
MF = "Mixed Fleet", allowing BA to hire new cabin crew on inferior contracts and on "poverty pay", as alleged by staff following the current strike action on BA.



(Air delivery of pizza could be quite a money-spinner!!! )
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Old Aug 15, 2017, 8:10 am
  #33  
 
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Originally Posted by warakorn
AB is in serious trouble.
...
Federal elections in Germany will be in 6.5 weeks. By then all the package-holidaymakers will be back.
...
Safe assumption that the German Government will prop them up until the elections. I certainly wouldn't take any risks beyond that date!
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Old Aug 15, 2017, 8:19 am
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Originally Posted by irishguy28
I'm not saying codeshares don't exist. But I am struggling to find any airberlin route on which BA has bothered to place its code. Are there any examples?
I can send you the spreadsheet if you want
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Old Aug 15, 2017, 8:21 am
  #35  
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Originally Posted by NathanM
Why doesn IAG or Qatar buy them to keep them in the OW fold?
I suppose they might do so but just like LH they will not take over the huge load of debt.

Originally Posted by sbm12
Because the carrier is not financially viable and oneworld doesn't really need AB. Sure, it makes a few connections and routes within Europe a little easier on the alliance but overall it is an overlap, not a unique set of routes or airports.

Also, buying an airline that lost more than a billion dollars the past couple years doesn't sound like a particularly smart investment. It'll be sold off for pieces.
Without Air Berlin Europe is even more a wide open gap in the OW network. *alliance is clearly dominant here, Skyteam has KLM-AF. OW needs a better network in Europe.

Originally Posted by wazow
I agree with the investors being unwilling to go after a money hole. I disagree though that it adds little to the alliance. Perhaps just for my locations (CPH-TXL-WAW, all three *A hubs) removing AB essentially means I no longer fly OW. Perhaps I need it once a year for an odd long haul. And we loose OW connections to many small German airports.

Finally, the amount of BA posters here about earning and burning indicates that BA does not cover a visible part of the market.
Totally agree. On LH flights you can make a small detour to fly one of the OW carriers but that's not an option for the majority of flights within Europe.

Originally Posted by warakorn
Swissair all over again!
I did buy some bonds expiring April 2018 because of the promise of Etihad... too bad they don't stick to their promise...
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Old Aug 15, 2017, 8:43 am
  #36  
 
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Originally Posted by wazow
I agree with the investors being unwilling to go after a money hole. I disagree though that it adds little to the alliance. Perhaps just for my locations (CPH-TXL-WAW, all three *A hubs) removing AB essentially means I no longer fly OW. Perhaps I need it once a year for an odd long haul. And we loose OW connections to many small German airports.

Finally, the amount of BA posters here about earning and burning indicates that BA does not cover a visible part of the market.
Indeed, Central Europe isn't exactly a OW bastion as it is. Once AB is gone, OW coverage will be almost inexistent.
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Old Aug 15, 2017, 8:57 am
  #37  
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Originally Posted by BlackBerryAddict
I can send you the spreadsheet if you want
No thanks - just an example of a route is sufficient!
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Old Aug 15, 2017, 8:58 am
  #38  
 
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Originally Posted by wazow
I am not old enough to remember the Swissair story in detail. Could you explain the parallel?
There is not really a parallel.
Basically, Swissair didn't get the money they needed to keep flying by the time they needed it (and which they were promised, namely by UBS) and had to ground the fleet when they ran out of cash. Emergency (government) financing emerged too late to save the old Swissair.
The airberlin bankruptcy is much better managed in comparison. There will be no sudden grounding as in the Swissair case - not now, not in the future, that's for sure.
The parallel to Swissair is how the financial trouble at both airlines started - a failed expansion strategy.

I'm old enough to remember LH's near-monopoly and the fares they charged before AB emerged as the only serious (network airline) competition, and definitely don't want to go back to those days.
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Old Aug 15, 2017, 9:10 am
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Originally Posted by irishguy28
No thanks - just an example of a route is sufficient!
GOT-TXL, BA7597 operated by AB8061, dep 06:15, arr 07:35
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Old Aug 15, 2017, 9:11 am
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Originally Posted by swiss_global
It seems that the procedure applied for, is permitting AB to continue to operate and find a solution in a defined period of time. Usually, the court would appoint an external insovency expert to supervise this process, but AB applies to do it themselves.

I'm not a specialist in german insolvency law, but AFAIK this procedure is requiring certain preconditions to be met. A court will decide.

Interestingly, they filed insolvency in Germany, although they are a UK registered firm ...???
There are certain conditions to be meet before the court will grand this "Selbstverwaltung" as its called in german. Usually there is a lot involved before its filled, all creditors are informed of the plan etc.

There will be an external be appointed, but he has no offically power and the old board is still in charge - which makes it much easier to handle such a large company like AB.

But it still depends, how big is the Ethiad controlled share at the creditor's meeting, will they oppose the liquidator?

It seems that the 150 Mio. € will tied them over at least for the next 12 weeks (that the usual period) but if the booking (and cash flow) ar stopping, the 12 weeks can be a lot shorter - depends what they expected of new bookings.

Personal I booked yesterday (darn!) after checking the letter of comfort from Ethiad was still good - with a flight during the german fall holiday season and a return on 19 November - just outside the 12 weeks mark..so I might book a back up refundable flight in the next few days..
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Old Aug 15, 2017, 9:24 am
  #41  
 
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I think the EY/LH codeshare announcement yesterday morning was not a good sign (and also slightly bizarre that this was announced the day before the insolvency filing):

Etihad / Lufthansa expands European codeshares from August 2017
By Jeanette Forbes
Posted14 August 2017 07:30

Etihad Airways and Lufthansa starting this month is expanding codeshare partnership, which sees selected Lufthansa’s intra-European service carrying Etihad’s EY-coded flight numbers. Planned codeshare routes approximately from 13AUG17 as follow.

ETIHAD operated by Lufthansa
Frankfurt – Barcelona
Frankfurt – Copenhagen
Frankfurt – Helsinki
Frankfurt – Prague
Frankfurt – Valencia
Munich – Barcelona
Munich – Copenhagen
Munich – Helsinki
Munich – Prague
Munich – Valencia
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Old Aug 15, 2017, 9:25 am
  #42  
 
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Lovely. Just booked an award ticket to Prague for March; thankfully on AA metal to Zurich.

It AB goes bankrupt will the procedure be to rebook on other oneworld flights?
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Old Aug 15, 2017, 9:26 am
  #43  
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Originally Posted by BlackBerryAddict
GOT-TXL, BA7597 operated by AB8061, dep 06:15, arr 07:35
Perhaps I should have asked for an example that can actually be booked? BA.com does not appear to offer the GOT to TXL flight for any possible journey commencing in Gothenburg...

EDIT: Never mind, found DUS-NUE codeshares offered (though not GOT-TXL!!!) I don't think BA will "miss" these AB codeshares
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Last edited by irishguy28; Aug 15, 2017 at 9:34 am
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Old Aug 15, 2017, 10:05 am
  #44  
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Lovely. Just booked an award ticket to Prague for March; thankfully on AA metal to Zurich.

It AB goes bankrupt will the procedure be to rebook on other oneworld flights?
I can tell you what happened in the case of the Malev insolvency and grounding.
Basically, any Malev-issued tickets for travel on other oneworld carriers were honored.
QF then operated FRA-SIN-SYD.
If you bought BUD-FRA-SIN-SYD on Malev stock, QF still honored their own segments FRA-SIN-SYD. However, it was the passenger responsibility to get to FRA on his own.
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Old Aug 15, 2017, 10:10 am
  #45  
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I am not old enough to remember the Swissair story in detail. Could you explain the parallel?
There are some parallels (of course, many things are different).
Swissair expected a payment by a big Swiss bank. They needed the money, because most suppliers demanded upfront payment, because some Swissair entity went into a managed bankcruptcy the day before.
The Swiss bank - due to various reasons - did not wire the money. Hence, Swissair could not pay its suppliers (largely airport operators at outstations) upfront.
There was not enough time to iron out a government bailout.

In the case of Air Berlin, the government bailout was already negotiated and agreed-on some time ago. It acts as a lifeline for AB. AB basically took this lifeline last weekend.
However, as with the Swiss bank in the case of Swissair, another private entity (Etihad) has failed to meet its payment deadline (EUR 50m).

It's quite telling - if a big airline has to file for bankcruptcy, just because a partner failed to wire EUR 50m in-time -> then the finances of AB were really, really bad.
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