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Will Air Canada buy the C Series ?

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Old Mar 10, 2013, 9:29 am
  #16  
 
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Originally Posted by pitz
If AC could magically swap 320's for 321's in the fleet, they would right now.
For the same price they would ... But I dont agree with your statement.

AC CEO is focussed on yield. A321 has a lot of seats to fill and more supply puts pressure on pricing
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Old Mar 10, 2013, 9:33 am
  #17  
 
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Old Mar 10, 2013, 11:53 pm
  #18  
 
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Originally Posted by CloudsBelow
Trip costs of A321 are higher than Trip costs of A320
Barely. But they gain a significant number of incremental seats. Which they need on YYZ-YYC/YVR.

A321 has no issues to on YYZLAX or YYZSFO
Even the 320 struggles in the winter, particularly on YYZ-SFO. With the occasional diversion/fuel stop at YWG.

AC CEO is focussed on yield. A321 has a lot of seats to fill and more supply puts pressure on pricing
So they fly 1 or 2 less flights per day. Voila, problem solved.
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Old Mar 11, 2013, 8:08 am
  #19  
 
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Originally Posted by pitz
Barely. But they gain a significant number of incremental seats. Which they need on YYZ-YYC/YVR. .
If the trip costs for the 321 were only barely higher than 320, the A320 would be dead. I do agree the 321 is the perfect typre for AC ..... YYZ-LAS/YVR/Florida are perfect for it.

Originally Posted by pitz
Even the 320 struggles in the winter, particularly on YYZ-SFO. With the occasional diversion/fuel stop at YWG.
AC sends their 321s on YULYVR all winter. Longer than YYZSFO. US sends their 321s on PHLSFO which is 10% longer than YYZSFO.

Originally Posted by pitz
So they fly 1 or 2 less flights per day. Voila, problem solved.
I agree! Just need to convince those pesky business travellers who demand frequency over gauge in many markets
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Old Mar 11, 2013, 11:55 am
  #20  
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Originally Posted by pitz
The C-series really isn't an A321 replacement, and that's what AC really needs at this point -- more A321s (or most likely, the next-gen successor). The 319 fleet is good for another 12-15 years.

So yeah, most likely no room for the C-series for at least the next decade. A320s that leave the fleet likely to be replaced with new-build A321's, but other than that...
I would not be surprised to see AC add a few more 321's to the fleet in the coming years but you need to keep in mind that the 319's are going to Rouge. Assuming as you do that the 320's also leave the fleet in the coming decade that would leave a huge gap between the 321 which currently seats 174 passengers and the E90 with 97 seats.

AC will do something here in the next few years. My forecast is the current narrow body fleet will all be retired in the coming decade and will be replaced by some combination of C-Series at the smaller end (100-125) and 737 or 320-series for 150-180 passengers.
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Old Mar 11, 2013, 12:27 pm
  #21  
 
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Originally Posted by The Lev
My forecast is the current narrow body fleet will all be retired in the coming decade and will be replaced by some combination of C-Series at the smaller end (100-125) and 737 or 320-series for 150-180 passengers.
I would put a friendly wager of all the beer in the closest MLL that AC will not order a single 737.

A combination of the C-seris and 321NEO would be an impressive single aisle fleet. I'm really hoping that's the way AC decides to go.
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Old Mar 11, 2013, 1:09 pm
  #22  
 
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Old Mar 11, 2013, 1:53 pm
  #23  
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Originally Posted by CloudsBelow
I would put a friendly wager of all the beer in the closest MLL that AC will not order a single 737.
AC has proven that they are not loyal to a single vendor - at the end of the day they will drive the hardest bargain they can and buy from whoever cuts them the best deal. Personally I appreciate the extra cabin width that Airbus offers.

Originally Posted by CloudsBelow
A combination of the C-seris and 321NEO would be an impressive single aisle fleet. I'm really hoping that's the way AC decides to go.
Yup. They may need something between the C300 and 321 though.

How will the 321Neo be that different from the 737-9?
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Old Mar 11, 2013, 2:07 pm
  #24  
 
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Cabin width

737 11 ft 7 in (3.54m)
A320 12 ft 2 in (3.70m)

7 inches may not seem like much but on an aircraft it's enormous, A320 has more passenger and/or Asile room where it counts width
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Old Mar 11, 2013, 3:14 pm
  #25  
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Originally Posted by xLuther
Cabin width

737 11 ft 7 in (3.54m)
A320 12 ft 2 in (3.70m)

7 inches may not seem like much but on an aircraft it's enormous, A320 has more passenger and/or Asile room where it counts width
Agreed - that's why in post 23 above I stated
Originally Posted by The Lev
Personally I appreciate the extra cabin width that Airbus offers.
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Old Mar 11, 2013, 4:52 pm
  #26  
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Originally Posted by The Lev


Yup. They may need something between the C300 and 321 though.

How will the 321Neo be that different from the 737-9?
Largest CSeries (recently introduced) features 145 seats in two class configuration, vs. 146 currently on the AC 320. (160 single class.)

So I would say it's CSeries all the way to 321.
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Old Mar 11, 2013, 6:40 pm
  #27  
 
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Originally Posted by The Lev
AC has proven that they are not loyal to a single vendor - at the end of the day they will drive the hardest bargain they can and buy from whoever cuts them the best deal.
Of course they will.
There are many cost considerations outside of the actual frame. IMO, it's too large a gap for Boeing to make up with price concessions on the aircraft
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Old Mar 11, 2013, 8:23 pm
  #28  
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Originally Posted by CloudsBelow
Of course they will.
There are many cost considerations outside of the actual frame. IMO, it's too large a gap for Boeing to make up with price concessions on the aircraft
Up to now Boeing has had the edge in terms of CASM for the 737 vs. 320. It would appear that Boeing is making some compromises in terms of fan diameter due to ground clearance challenges that will allow Airbus to close the gap considerably, but I'd be interested if you have a link to any data suggesting the NEO will have a lower CASM than the MAX.
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Old Mar 11, 2013, 9:58 pm
  #29  
 
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Originally Posted by The Lev
Up to now Boeing has had the edge in terms of CASM for the 737 vs. 320. ....I'd be interested if you have a link to any data suggesting the NEO will have a lower CASM than the MAX.
Do you have any data that says the 737 has lower CASM than A320?
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Old Mar 12, 2013, 7:04 am
  #30  
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Originally Posted by upgradesecret
Do you have any data that says the 737 has lower CASM than A320?
Here's one:
http://aeroturbopower.blogspot.ca/20...fuel-burn.html

Airbus has the advantage of a larger fan blade on the CFM-56 engine while Boeing benefits from lower weight per seat and smaller fuselage cross-section.Untilvery recently Boeing also had the edge with winglets, but Airbus has probably caught up with their recently introduced sharklets.
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